DAN BIDS FAREWELL TO THE 2011 FANTASY SEASON IN THIS WEEK'S START HIM! SIT HIM!
Congratulations to the 2011 Fantasy Football Champions!
However, those of you who won your league already have little, if any, reason to read this week’s column, so perhaps I should congratulate those of you who insist on continuing your fantasy playoffs into the 17th week of the regular season, as you are the only ones who will probably be interested in my picks this week.
I don’t want to waste much time this week before getting into the picks, so let’s do a quick recap of Week 16 before we get into Week 17.
QB Rex Grossman – Projected * 278 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT (17 Points)
Actual * 284 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 Fumble (15 Points)
Without that fumble I would have been right on, but Rex’s 15 points still land him safely in the top-12 among QBs for Week 16.
RB Ben Tate – Projected * 93 total yards, 1 TD (15 Points)
Actual * -1 yards, 0 TD (0 Points)
Two consecutive juicy matchups for Tate to close out the season, and two complete and utter fantasy disasters. The Texans inexplicably lost to the hapless Colts on Thursday night in a game they needed for playoff positioning and Tate’s six-carry, -1 yard performance was a microcosm of the entire game for Houston.
WR Jabar Gaffney – Projected * 87 yards, 1 TD (14 Points)
Actual * 77 yards, 1 TD (13 Points)
Gaffney was the leading receiver for the Redskins again on Sunday and he remains a must-start for those of you who play one more game this fantasy season.
TE Greg Olsen – Projected * I just think he’ll score (6+ Points)
Actual * 0 yards, 0 TD (0 Points)
Death, taxes and my START HIM! Tight End failing to come through…
Giants’ Defense – Projected * 18 points allowed, 5 sacks, 3 turnovers (12 Points)
Actual * 14 points allowed, 5 sacks, 3 turnovers (13 Points)
The Giants’ defensive line predictably manhandled the Jets’ offensive line, and Mark Sanchez never really had a shot. The G-Men finished the week as the number-two defense in fantasy behind, shockingly, the Buffalo Bills.
QB Mark Sanchez – Projected * 181 yards, 1 TD, 2 turnovers (7 Points)
Actual * 258 yards passing, 1 TD, 13 yards rushing, 1 TD, 3 turnovers (15 Points)
This prediction was looking pretty good until Sanchez ruined it with a one-yard TD plunge in the fourth quarter, but it still clearly goes as a loss.
RB All of New Orleans RBs – Projected * 83 rushing yards, 0 TD combined (8 Points)
Actual * Sproles – 89 total yards, 1 TD (14 Points)
Thomas – 57 total yards, 1 TD (11 Points)
I was mostly recommending sitting Thomas and Mark Ingram with this prediction, but because Ingram didn’t suit up I had to slide Sproles in for him and clearly that didn’t work out. Thomas still played well enough to warrant being in your starting lineups, so this would have gone as a loss regardless.
WR Anquan Boldin – Projected * 54 yards, 0 TD (5 Points)
Actual * Did Not Play (0 Points)
Boldin wasn’t even listed on the injury report when I recommended him as a SIT! but, regardless, he was held out against the Browns. Still, he didn’t do anything to help owners out, so this goes as a win.
TE Brandon Pettigrew – Projected * I just don’t think he’ll score (Sub-6 Points)
Actual * 80 yards, 1 TD (14 Points)
Death, taxes, my START HIM Tight End failing to come through… and my SIT HIM! Tight End having a career day.
Cowboys’ Defense – Projected * 31 points allowed, 2 sacks, 1 turnover (1 Points)
Actual * 20 points allowed, 2 sacks, 1 turnover (2 Points)
With nothing to play for after the Giants defeated the Jets–setting up a “Do or Die” showdown in the Meadowlands this coming weekend–Dallas waived the proverbial white flag against the Eagles early in the game last Sunday. Michael Vick and company were able to exploit some of Dallas’s backups enough to win the game and keep the Cowboys' defensive playmakers mostly at bay.
That concludes another week of 5-5 projections from yours truly. After yet another 0-2 performance in Tight End Roulette I went back and recapped my record in my least favorite game this season. With just the picks below remaining, I am 13-19 on the season while picking the Tight Ends, and 75-53 with every other position.
If you are looking to draw any conclusions from that information: Assume I somewhat know what I’m talking about in regards to QBs, RBs, WRs and Defenses, then do the complete opposite of what I say when it comes to the Tight Ends.
On to Week 17!
QB Carson Palmer – Projected * Lots of passing attempts (17 Points)
If you are still playing for something in Week 17 of the fantasy season, you probably want to load up on players who are doing the same in the regular season.
Palmer and the Raiders are (miraculously) still alive in the AFC West playoff picture and their passing game should do well against the Chargers’ defense. If you are looking for a fill in for Aaron Rodgers or one of the other QBs who have nothing to play for this week, you could do worse than Palmer.
QB Aaron Rodgers – Projected * Less than one quarter of playing time (6 Points)
Week 17 of the NFL season is a terrible time to be a betting man.
RB Ben Tate – Projected * Lots of carries (14 Points)
Just because I recommend him as a START! for two weeks in a row and he does absolutely nothing, doesn’t mean I have to turn my back on him!
The most logical reason I can give is that there is no reason for Arian Foster to play more than a quarter of this game, so Tate should do well.
RB Michael Turner – Projected * Less than one quarter of playing time (2 Points)
Isn’t Week 17 of the NFL season fun?
WR Torrey Smith – Projected * Lots of targets (15 Points)
Anquan Boldin sat out last week and likely won’t play again this week. Baltimore needs this win in order to secure a first-round bye, so Flacco should target the speedy rookie early and often in this one.
WR Jordy Nelson – Projected * Lots of splinters (1 Point)
Green Bay is probably going to give their starters one or two series in order to stay fresh with a first-round bye looming next week. It’s almost comical to look at the names I’m sitting here and the ones I’m starting, but seriously, that’s life in the NFL for Week 17.
TE Dustin Keller – Projected * I just think he’ll score (6+ Points)
Having mediocre talent and something to play for is better than…
Tony Gonzalez – Projected * I just don’t think he’ll score (Sub-6 Points)
… having lots of talent and nothing to play for.
Broncos’ Defense – Projected * Lots of sacks and turnovers (13 Points)
Have you noticed a pattern yet? Yes, this is Kyle Orton’s revenge game against his old team, but really I just wanted one more excuse in 2011 to cue the music!
Patriots’ Defense – Projected * Lots of points allowed (3 Points)
Yes, they still have to win in order to secure the #1 seed, but that doesn’t mean they have to put forth one ounce of effort on defense to do it.
And that concludes fantasy football in 2011!
Whether you win this week, won last week or were disqualified weeks ago, I hope you had fun playing this year and reading my articles. I’ll be shifting my attention to the NBA and MLB for now, but Fantasy Football 2012 is just around the corner!
Good luck to everyone this week, and that goes double for those of you who actually have a fantasy matchup this week and realize the harsh reality that Matt Flynn, Joe Webb and Seneca Wallace have more value this week than Aaron Rodgers.
START HIM! SIT HIM! Season Record: 88-72
Follow me @Dan_LaLonde where I wonder aloud if Colts owner, Jim Irsay, is actually going to lock his team in the locker room prior to their game against Jacksonville in order to secure the #1 pick in April’s draft.